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Today vs Tomorrow: Car Prices in India Before and After EU-India FTA – Will Luxury Cars Like BMW, Mercedes & Audi Become Affordable?

EU-India Free Trade Agreement 2026 slashes import duties on European cars from 110% to as low as 10% in phases – but quota limits & local assembly mean real price drops mainly for premium imports.

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AUTO | TRADE DEAL | LUXURY CARS

EU-India FTA 2026: Which Luxury Cars Get Cheaper? Full List, Affected Models & Realistic Price Predictions

BMW M cars, Mercedes-AMG, Porsche 911, Lamborghini & more — how much could prices really drop after the “mother of all deals”?

Updated: January 29, 2026

After years of negotiations, India and the European Union signed a historic Free Trade Agreement (FTA) on January 27, 2026 — widely called the "mother of all deals".

The agreement includes a clear roadmap to dramatically reduce import duties on European passenger vehicles — especially high-end fully built-up (CBU) imports that currently face 100–110% duties. Initial reduction targets ~30–40% (within quota), with a long-term goal of 10% over the next 5–10 years.

However, the relief is not uniform: locally assembled CKD models (the majority of BMW, Mercedes, Audi, Volvo sales in India) will see little to no short-term benefit. EU-made electric vehicles get no duty cut for at least the first 5 years. Spare parts and components will gradually move toward zero duty — promising lower ownership costs across the board.

EU-India FTA – Key Numbers & Rules for Cars

  • Current CBU duty: 100–110% → Initial: ~30–40% (within quota) → Long-term: 10%
  • Annual quota: ~2.5 lakh (250,000) vehicles priced above ~€15,000 (~₹16–17 lakh)
  • Likely effective from: FY 2027–28 (after ratification)
  • EU EVs: No duty reduction for first 5+ years
  • CKD locally assembled models: Duties already ~15–20% → minimal short-term change
  • Spare parts & components: Phased reduction to 0% over 5–10 years

Today vs Post-FTA: Estimated Ex-Showroom Prices (Focus on CBU Imports)

Prices are approximate 2026 ex-showroom (pan-India avg). Reductions apply mainly to fully imported CBUs within quota. Actual savings depend on brand pricing, forex, GST/cess (~28–30%), and quota availability. Scroll horizontally on mobile.

Model / Variant (Import Type) Current Ex-Showroom (2026) Expected Post-FTA (Within Quota) Potential Saving
BMW 3 Series (Mostly CKD)₹52–75 lakh₹50–72 lakh0–8%
Mercedes C-Class (Mostly CKD)₹61–72 lakh₹58–70 lakh0–10%
Audi A4 (Mostly CKD)₹46–56 lakh₹44–54 lakh5–10%
Volvo XC60 (Mixed)₹67–78 lakh₹52–65 lakh18–25%
BMW X3 / X5 imported trims₹71–1.05 Cr₹52–80 lakh?Up to 25–30%
Mercedes GLC / GLE imported + AMG₹75 lakh – 1.8 Cr₹55 lakh – 1.3 Cr?20–35%
BMW M3 / M4 / M5 (CBU)₹1.45–3.2 Cr₹1–2.3 Cr?25–40%
Mercedes-AMG / Maybach (CBU)₹1.6–5 Cr+₹1.1–3.5 Cr?25–45%
Porsche Macan (Mostly CBU)₹90 lakh – 1.55 Cr₹65 lakh – 1.15 Cr?25–35%
Porsche Cayenne / 911 (CBU)₹1.45–4 Cr+₹1–3 Cr?30%+
Lamborghini Huracán / Urus (CBU)₹3.2–6.5 Cr+₹2.2–4.8 Cr?High impact
Ferrari Roma / Portofino (CBU)₹3.8–8 Cr+₹2.6–6 Cr?High impact

Who Really Wins? Short vs Long-Term Impact

Short–Medium Term Big Winners

Fully imported performance & ultra-luxury: BMW M / Mercedes-AMG / Maybach / Porsche entire range / Lamborghini / Ferrari / select Audi RS / Volvo high-end. Expect richer variants, more aggressive pricing, and fiercer showroom competition.

Minimal Short-Term Change

Locally assembled volume models: BMW 3/5 Series/X1/X3, Mercedes C/E/GLC/GLA, Audi A4/A6/Q5/Q7, Volvo XC40/XC60/XC90. Prices expected to remain largely stable in the first 2–3 years.

Long-Term Benefits for Everyone

Cheaper spare parts & servicing across all brands, more direct EU model launches, increased competitive pressure → better deals even on locally assembled cars over time.

Elegant white European luxury sedan driving – future of affordability?

European luxury dream cars could gradually become significantly more accessible

Coming Next – Deeper Analysis

The deal still needs final ratification. Watch for updates on:

  • Exact quota mechanics and first-year allocation
  • Model-by-model realistic price forecasts (variant level)
  • German trio vs Porsche vs Italian brands comparison
  • Secondary effects on Tesla, domestic luxury players, and EVs

India’s luxury car market is on the cusp of real transformation — stay tuned!

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